Saturday Storms?

Just yesterday there was no chance of rain in the forecast for today. However, all of a sudden there are some light showers moving through the area, and the Storm Prediction Center is indicating a slight risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. How did this happen? All week, area forecast discussions from the weather service mentioned that the computer forecast models were indicating a chance of storms on Saturday, but these indications were discredited because forecasters thought the atmosphere would be too capped to permit storm development. Obviously the models were right all along, and now we have to deal with a threat of storms today. The severe threat for today seems pretty small, but it will still have to be watched closely. In retrospect, forecasters should have mentioned this threat of storms days ago, even if it was a remote chance. This is especially true since this is a holiday weekend, when just about everyone has some sort of outdoor plans. Now, those plans could be spoiled.

That's my rant for today.