Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Overnight Hail

There were several reports of large hail around the region late last night and early this morning, but overall it wasn't nearly the significant severe outbreak that had been predicted. The atmosphere remained capped most of the night, with most of the thunderstorms not developing until the early morning hours. This overhyped outbreak really served as the perfect end to the severe weather season (severe storms are still possible later in October and November, but become increasingly unlikely), as it followed the trend established by previous blown forecasts. Hard to say why this has happened, but hopefully next year's forecasts will be much better. If anything, this proves how little we know about the dynamics of the atmosphere. In the end, Mother Nature will basically do whatever she wants, regardless of what the forecasts say.


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